Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.110183 0.121757 0.133590 0.146564 0.160363 0.174574 0.190289
2025-01-26 0.098887 0.117284 0.136953 0.159423 0.184256 0.210743 0.241013
2025-02-02 0.085080 0.107674 0.132820 0.162580 0.196541 0.233805 0.277500
2025-02-09 0.075058 0.100679 0.130218 0.166245 0.208456 0.255839 0.312534
2025-02-16 0.065072 0.092386 0.124962 0.165817 0.214846 0.271001 0.339384
2025-02-23 0.061023 0.090712 0.127084 0.173702 0.230670 0.296904 0.378604
2025-03-02 0.056974 0.088503 0.128124 0.179931 0.244290 0.320125 0.414736
2025-03-09 0.049619 0.081221 0.122134 0.176869 0.246132 0.328965 0.433594
2025-03-16 0.042727 0.073882 0.115472 0.172406 0.245774 0.334782 0.448555
2025-03-23 0.040325 0.072574 0.116582 0.177806 0.257697 0.355574 0.481687
2025-03-30 0.037443 0.070288 0.116148 0.181010 0.266726 0.372767 0.510486
2025-04-06 0.035518 0.069236 0.117274 0.186197 0.278271 0.393123 0.543280
2025-04-13 0.032229 0.066013 0.115421 0.187610 0.285365 0.408562 0.570954
2025-04-20 0.032261 0.068057 0.121221 0.199718 0.306846 0.442641 0.622470
2025-04-27 0.029604 0.065517 0.120187 0.202262 0.315638 0.460653 0.654058
2025-05-04 0.027530 0.063738 0.120132 0.206084 0.326117 0.480881 0.688585
2025-05-11 0.024573 0.060134 0.117077 0.205435 0.330410 0.493051 0.712905
2025-05-18 0.024106 0.060890 0.120717 0.214478 0.348025 0.522699 0.759742
2025-05-25 0.023260 0.060862 0.123074 0.221632 0.363070 0.549069 0.802530
2025-06-01 0.020306 0.056557 0.118360 0.218098 0.363069 0.555452 0.819441
2025-06-08 0.017364 0.051900 0.112757 0.212951 0.360573 0.558354 0.831721
2025-06-15 0.016710 0.051790 0.114649 0.219172 0.374198 0.582866 0.872293
2025-06-22 0.015671 0.050763 0.114920 0.222861 0.384211 0.602575 0.906686